Biden and Trump Battle for Pennsylvania Primary Pole Position

Primary day in PA could be very revealing.

Pennsylvania polls open at 7 a.m. today (April 23) for a primary contest in perhaps the most hotly contested battleground state. Most will remember that it was the Keystone State that put Donald Trump over the top in 2016. Likewise, his loss of Pennsylvania in 2020 was vital to Joe Biden’s victory. So, what can this primary tell us about the upcoming election?

The Keystone State has been a veritable seesaw of polling data. In the first quarter of 2024,  Trump edged out Biden in six polls; however, the incumbent leads in five polls with a boost in the RealClearPolitics average of a mere half a percent. These numbers may be misleading as an outlier poll conducted by Franklin & Marshall served up a 10-point advantage for the man from Scranton. (The survey size was smaller than…

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