And here’s why it matters.
This we know: Early voting (EV) was the flashpoint that determined the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. Democrats voted early in massive numbers, while Republicans primarily waited to exercise their franchise on Election Day. However, it seems the GOP learned its lesson and this year urged those in its constituency to bank their vote by casting an early ballot, and it appears they are listening. What can the early vote tell us? Well, actually, quite a lot.
Early voters can be divided into three categories: party affiliation, gender, and battleground state. While we don’t know precisely for whom these people voted, each grouping reveals the likelihood of the votes cast for either former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris.
First, some key facts: Only 15 of the 50 states…
