Much airtime has been devoted to presidential polling on a national level, with somewhat less given to the all-important battleground states. Yet little talk has been allocated to where the Electoral College numbers currently sit. While some states are almost certain to follow historical trends (think New York for Democrats and Wyoming for Republicans), the real contest rests in the toss-ups.
Who’s in the Game?
Different organizations follow their own individual criteria for what makes a “toss-up” state. RealClearPolitics (RCP) currently lists 198 safe bets for President Joe Biden out of the available 538 and 219 for Donald Trump. This leaves 121 Electoral College votes in the toss-up range from 11 states*. The number to aim for is the all-important 270.
Poll company FiveThirtyEight calculates that things are a little tighter, with Biden on…
