You will remember that in 2016, almost every prediction by the pundits, backed up by almost every reputable poll, had Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump with ease. And in 2020, most forecasters predicted that Trump would suffer a massive defeat at the hands of Joe Biden. Of course, Trump triumphed in ‘16 and in ‘20 came within 50,000 votes in three states of winning a second term. Thus, we can reasonably conclude that election polls and predictions should be taken with a grain of salt.
After years of overstating the importance of the national popular vote and understating the only measure that matters in a presidential election, the Electoral College, both parties understand that the seven battleground states of the Rust Belt and Sun Belt, where Trump and Kamala Harris are flooding the zone, are essentially the whole ballgame in 2024.
In…
