Republicans Take Clear Lead over Dems in Poll Averages

Republicans have taken a clear lead over Democrats in the RealClearPolitics and the FiveThirtyEight generic congressional ballot average less than a year before the midterms.

The November midterm election will decide the majority in the House and Senate, as both chambers barely have a majority. The House Republicans only need to gain five seats, while the Senate is currently tied 50 to 50, allowing votes. However, the Democrats have the advantage as vice president Kamala Harris can cast the tie-breaking vote in favor of her party’s wishes.

The RealClearPolitics average showed the Republicans with a four-point lead. The average kept by RealClearPolitics shows the Republicans with 47.6 percent of the hypothetical vote and the Democrats with 43.6 percent of the hypothetical vote.

RCP Poll Average: 2022 Generic Congressional Vote (Screenshot)

The FiveThirtyEight average

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