Former President Donald Trump currently leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 0.3% in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls and by an average of 0.9% in the battleground states. Both results are well within the margins of error of the individual polls included in the averages. Thus, it’s appropriate to describe the current presidential race as neck and neck. Right?
If polls are the only indicator you’re looking at, that might be a fair statement. However, there are other ways to gauge where the candidates stand with the electorate.
Earlier this week, Brit Hume, Fox News chief political analyst, who has covered his fair share of presidential elections, recalled how reporters used to assess a political candidate’s prospects in the “old days,” when polls were either “nonexistent” or “old.” They were forced to rely on other factors.
“You’d…
