GDP Shows the Economy Was Stronger and Weaker Than We Thought

Consumer Spending Fueled a Lot More GDP Growth Than Expected

If someone were inventing a curse to fit our immediate economic era, they might put it this way: “May you live in an age of interesting revisions.”

The Commerce Department on Thursday released its first revision of economic growth for the second quarter. It said gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at a three percent annual rate, up from the so-called “advance estimate” of 2.8 percent.

Economists had not seen this coming. The consensus forecast was for the second estimate to match the first. The range of estimates actually was slightly tilted to the downside, with the Econoday panel’s forecasts ranging from 2.6 percent to 2.9 percent. No one had penciled in three percent growth.

To get a feel for just how much stronger growth has been in the second quarter than economists thought, recall that the economy…

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