Polling suggests that Nigel Farage’s Reform UK Party could win a by-election (special election) triggered by a Labour Member of Parliament’s resignation after he punched a constituent in the face.
Voters in Runcorn and Helsby in the county of Cheshire will shortly select a new Member of Parliament. Although the date for the ballot has yet to be set, early indications suggest Farage’s insurgents could carry the day despite a massive majority gained by the incumbent Labour Party at the last election.
Polling by Lord Ashcroft — a longstanding Tory and respected as far as UK pollsters go — looked at voters in the constituency and weighed responses according to how likely residents said they were actually to take time to vote on polling day. With that in mind, the polling put Farage’s Reform at 40 per cent, Labour at 35 per cent, and the Conservatives, who were until…
